“Doubt is not a
pleasant condition, but certainty is absurd”. Voltaire
In
May, 2013, Carla del Ponte, a member of the U.N.
Independent International Commission of Inquiry on Syria told Swiss TV
that there was no evidence of government use of nerve gas, and testimony from
victims strongly suggested that it was the rebels who had used Sarin. The following month, Washington
announced it would continue to arm the rebels citing evidence that Assad
had used chemical weapons against his own people. In spite of the alleged evidence, Washington refused
to send gas masks to the rebels.
Today, while the UN chemical weapons inspectors in Syria are investigating the possible use of
chemical agents, US
Secretary of State John Kerry put all doubt aside announcing that he has irrefutable
evidence
that the Assad government is responsible for the use of chemical weapons. Mr. Kerry is of the opinion that since he has
the ‘facts’, the UN inspectors have nothing new to offer - after all, ‘the
American intelligence community has high confidence’ in its findings. This degree of certainty is simply absurd --
or dishonest.
As the Kerry-doing-Powell tells us: “We know rockets came only from
regime-controlled areas and landed only in opposition-held areas”. Basing the intelligence on these rockets is
all the more questionable as the rockets alleged to have been used by Assad bear
a strong resemblance to a 1970’s American weapon - the SLUFAE . Although SLUFAE had been shelved, the
concept was built upon by several countries --
namely Israel . According to a former UN inspector "a
very similar munition was found 3-5 years ago, during one of the Israeli excursions,"
into Southern Lebanon .” (Foreign
Policy).
So we are left with dubious intelligence and mystifying rockets
- but what of the chemical weapons which are reported to have taken a high
toll? Another anomaly in the Kerry
allegations is that at the rocket site, there is a complete absence of fear shown by
people posing with the weapons, and an absence of any kind of protective gear. So if not
rockets, what was the delivery method, and by whom?
Dubious reports have surfaced on the internet
which cite a rebel’s father claiming that the Saudis supplied the chemical
weapons without instructions, or without telling the rebels what they were
which is why “they” went off in the tunnel causing so many accidental
deaths. Although these allegations
reinforce the fact that chemicals were used, the unlikely story flies in the
face of Israeli intelligence and
Kerry’s allegations, serving to
add confusion to an already mystifying event.
What other plausible explanations are there?
Writing for the prominent Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI), in his 2005 article entitled “Unmanned
Air Vehicles as Terror Weapons: Real or Imagined?”, Dennis Gormley stressed
the danger of UAV (unmanned aerial vehicles - drones) and stated: “Dispersal of
chemical or especially biological agent is ideally suited for a UAV; its flight
stability permits the release of agent evenly along a line of contamination.”
Coincidentally, in April 2013, The
Times of Israel citing Le Figaro
reported that ‘Israeli drones were given leave to fly over Jordan in order to monitor the chemical caches and
take action if necessary’. Could these drones have been used to destroy
an existing caches - or, were the drones
used to disperse the chemical weapons? Certainly Israel had the weapons, the means and the
opportunity.
The Israeli government has issued no policy statement on
biological arms control and it has either signed nor ratified the 1972 Biological
Weapons Convention (BWC); however, according
to Avner Cohen “Ben Gurion’s desire to seek
scientists to “either increase the capacity to kill masses or to cure
masses” implied -- in the 1948 context -- was an interest in biological
warfare. Subsequently, the Israel
Institute of Biological Research (IIBR) was founded in Ness Ziona, some 12
miles southeast of Tel Aviv[i] (The
Nonproliferation Review/Fall-Winter 2001).
The institute was not without its hazards. Several ‘accidents’ took place in Ness Ziona
and in August 1998, the British Foreign
Report citing Israeli sources claimed that “one accident was so serious
that the authorities were contemplating evacuating the entire town of Ness Ziona before the IRIB scientists had concluded that
the threat has passed.
There were further revelations in October 1998 when Israel admitted that the El Al Boeing plane
which crashed in Amsterdam
in 1992, was carrying cargo destined for Ness Ziona. The shipment contained DMMP - a dual-use
chemical used in the manufacture of sarin nerve gas. Perhaps it is the experiments being carried
out by the IRIB in Ness Ziona, and all the related incidents, in addition to Israel ’s
policies that has the Israeli citizens
on a constant alert -- masks ready, images of which are broadcast to justify
aggressive, illegal action.
There are far too many unanswered questions and potential
possibilities - all of which underscore the absurdity of Kerry’s certainty on Syria . As oft repeated on this topic - qui bono
(who benefits)? For now, we know that that
Mr. Kerry’s attention been redirected from the ‘peace plan’ to war planning -
at a ludicrously high cost to Syria
and at the expense of America ’s
credibility.
[i] Avner
Cohen, “Israel
and Chemical/Biological Weapons: History, Deterrence, and Arms Control”